Why Be Early?
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| Photo: lakelandlocal |
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| Photo: lakelandlocal |
If you read the news, you'd think we've had some pretty close calls recently with some would-be terrorists. But if you actually find out a few crucial facts, you see that what we have are some morons attempting to be terrorists - or succeeding, if you define it as spreading fear - and not getting very far. Both the would be bombers in London just a few days ago and the guy who thought he could level JFK a few weeks ago apparently have the science knowledge of a 12 year old who has watched too many movies.
But - the parts of explosives and the half-baked plans combined with government agencies that need funding and media outlets that just can't wait for a juicy story all add up to some big fears. It's a good thing we don't have to worry about those 43,000 people killed in automobile accidents last year in the US. That's nothing to get excited about. Or the loss of habeus corpus - who needs it?
Great article (PDF) in the Washington Post about the increasing amount of secrecy in the government and the country - and why it is a disturbing trend. This democracy we live in was built on an open sharing of ideas - remember that the original settlers were escaping religious persecution - and too much secrecy in our government perverts its foundations. As the saying goes, the best disinfectant is sunlight. Hopefully our next administration will reverse the current trend.
But the notion that information is more credible because it's secret is increasingly unfounded. In fact, secret information is often more suspect because it hasn't been subjected to open debate. Those with their own agendas can game the system, over-classifying or stove-piping self-serving intelligence to shield it from scrutiny. Those who cherry-picked intelligence in the run-up to the Iraq war could ignore anything that contradicted it. Even now, some members of Congress tell me that they avoid reading classified reports for fear that if they do, the edicts of secrecy will bar them from discussing vital public issues.
The Recording Industry has gone way overboard in somehow getting Florida and Utah (and possibly Rhode Island and Wisconsin) to pass a laws that say:
These are probably much tougher requirements than buying a gun in these states. Does this seem absurd to anyone? What about used book sales? Are used CD sales really that much of a market killer? Why is the recording industry trying to shoot itself in the foot? What a bunch of morons - including the legislators who bought in to this ill-conceived joke.
The trials and tribulations of electronic voting are not just an American problem. The Dutch Government apparently had their main supplier of e-voting systems essentially threaten them with blackmail if they didn't purchase his company after an independent watchdog group (great: The "We don't trust voting computers foundation") leader was poised to be put on a commission to investigate the voting computers.
This kind of problem isn't really specific to e-voting, but it does make a good argument for open-source e-voting systems. If the source is publicly owned and maintained by government programmers (doing releases and testing for elections) plus the open-source community, your blackmail and sole-source problems go away.
To my Congressional representatives (and to Congress as a whole) --
As a fan of Internet radio, I was alarmed to learn that music royalty rates were recently determined by the Copyright Royalty Board (CRB) which, if enacted, would certainly silence most or all of my favorite online listening services. (For most webcasters, this new royalty rate represents more than 100% of their total revenues!)
The closure of these Internet radio stations would be a loss for not only independent business owners, but also for musical artists, for copyright owners, and for listeners like me who enjoy the wide variety of choices available via Internet radio.
I respectfully request that Congress look into this matter and initiate action to prevent it. As the CRB rate decision is retroactive to January 1, 2006, please understand that time is of the essence -- as the immediate impact of this decision could silence many or most free Internet radio stations forever.
The Energy Information Administration released its far forward looking report on energy sources and consumption in the country. Alternative and biomass sources play a smaller part in our country's future then the current amount of news about them might lead one to believe, leaving our fossil fuel friend coal to do most of the heavy lifting. The report doesn't talk directly about any possible reduction in energy consumption, although I guess it might be implied in reduced rates of energy demand increase.
I guess we are a growing country, so we can't expect energy saving technologies and our better instincts to overcome our growing needs for power, right? I suppose to a large degree, much of the energy in this country is used by long lived assets such as buildings which cannot normally just be replaced when the latest technology comes out. It is highly unlikely that our transportation infrastructure will be scaled down, we can hope that the deficiency of the most common modes of our transportation increase, but again we run into the problem of long lived assets.
I guess we will all just have to be happy with chipping away at the margins of energy consumption, and maybe wait for the next big breakthrough in fusion power.
If this story about Ted Haggard having some non-coed fun is true, I have to say it is pretty funny.
(I always forget to publish these scheduled articles...)
Although the article appears on the front page of the business section (An Obsession with Leaks and Plugs, PDF), it really ought to be a general op-ed. The current climate of secrecy, fear, and paranoia engendered by the administration already seem to be having ill effects on journalism, and as one could possibly even argued by the recent goings on at Hewlett-Packard, big business. The aptly titled "sunshine laws" that have been enacted in many places across the country passed because of the general feeling that democracy works best out in the open, in the brightly visible light of day. Exactly what about that is unclear to the current administration?
I am going to lean on the New York Times a bit here (completely out of character, I know). Thomas Friedman started off an op-ed last week with some funny (you might say morbidly funny) comments on how you could start to fill a bookshelf with the burgeoning section of "how the Bush administration has screwed up" titles. Things seem to be -- hopefully -- pointing in the way of Democratic victory in at least one of the branches of Congress, which if it happens, might start to rein in some of the Republican groupthink that has been going on in Washington for the past six years. Today David Sanger comments on how the decision to focus on Iraq has shown yet again to be a mistake, as North Korea claims to have tested a nuclear bomb and there isn't much of anything we can do about it. Three years ago we threw our lot in with the merely bad, and really haven't paid enough attention to the definitely worse.
I guess you could claim a lot of this is the 20/20 of hindsight, but I would definitely argue that there were some bad decisions based on some bad policies and the ideological (instead of realistic) visions of how certain things would play out.
Maybe I missed something over the past six years, but hasn't the administration done all it can to disprove or otherwise ignore global warming? Or is "climate change" not the same thing? Well, at least the Department of Energy seems to have come around.
DOE Releases Climate Change Technology Program Strategic Plan
DOE released on September 20th the Climate Change Technology Program (CCTP) Strategic Plan, which details measures to accelerate the development and reduce the cost of new and advanced technologies that avoid, reduce, or capture and store greenhouse gas emissions. CCTP is the technology component of a comprehensive U.S. strategy introduced by President Bush in 2002 to combat climate change. That strategy includes measures to advance climate change science; spur clean energy technology development and deployment; promote international collaboration; and slow the growth of greenhouse gas emissions through voluntary, incentive-based, and mandatory partnerships.
The CCTP Strategic Plan organizes roughly $3 billion in federal spending for climate technology research, development, demonstration, and deployment to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and increase economic growth. The plan sets six complementary goals: (1) reducing emissions from energy use and infrastructure; (2) reducing emissions from energy supply; (3) capturing and sequestering carbon dioxide; (4) reducing emissions of other greenhouse gases; (5) measuring and monitoring emissions; and (6) bolstering the contributions of basic science to climate change. It examines energy efficiency, hydrogen, renewable energy, and renewable fuels among an array of other low-emissions energy technologies.
The strategic plan also notes the difficulty of stabilizing greenhouse gas emissions; examining a range of scenarios, the report notes that cumulative global emissions over the next century would have to be reduced by the equivalent of 300 billion to a trillion metric tons of carbon. Deploying a million megawatts of wind power would cut emissions by only about 1 billion metric tons of carbon per year. On the other hand, advanced energy efficiency technologies could cut global carbon emissions by 270 billion tons over the next century. See the DOE press release and the CCTP Strategic Plan.
The widening gap between what the administration is saying about the war in Iraq and the war on terror is somewhat disturbing. You know something has got to be wrong when the agencies are quietly reporting things are much worse than the press releases say - they want to be sure when the shit actually hits the fan that they had covered their own ass...
The Guardian reports that the [National Intelligence Estimate] document "contradicts" recent optimistic assessments from the Bush administration. It also "furthers the divisions between the military and politicians in their assessment of the impact of US policy in Iraq."
If it wasn't already obvious that the Diebold electronic voting machines had more security problems then Internet Explorer, Edward Felten and some researchers at Princeton University have done an analysis on a machine they obtained and proven the poor design of it. They even produced a nice summary and FAQ.
More interesting stuff from the book I mentioned in a previous post. Different ways of dealing with war, foreign policy, and the difficulties of consensus building make for very interesting contrasts among the different presidents. It is especially interesting now that we are approaching the end of the Bush Jr. administration, and we can begin to contemplate what his legacy will be like. I am not a particular fan of his, but he was reelected, so I am curious how positively or negatively he will be viewed through the fuzzy lens of history. More of the passages I run into in this book make me think that he will not be viewed very positively.
Our most successful wartime presidents have been those who systematically built a consensus in the Congress, the press, and the country before taking up arms, just as the most ineffective leaders have been those who tried to impose a military policy on the nation in which it didn't believe. The freedom allowed America's chiefs in the making of war and crafting of peace has also burdened them with considerable risks, and it is in this arena at the reputations of some of the country's most and least successful presidents have been made. (p. 109)
The defeat of Wilson's peace plans in 1919 made an indelible impression on [FDR], for he learned that no leader could ignore the vital connection between domestic opinion and conduct of international relations. As president, he lived by the proposition that an effective policy abroad required a supporting consensus at home. (p. 114)
Apart from the Spanish American war in 1898, the Persian Gulf struggle, in large part because it lasted nearly 6 weeks and cost only 350 American lives... [George Bush Sr.] wisdom in establishing national and international support for an American military action of this magnitude provided an instructive contrast to the many instances of 20th-century gunboat and secret diplomacy, which did more to erode confidence in the countries democratic institutions than to advance the national interest. (p. 119)
I have been reading a really interesting book, Hail to the Chief: The Making and Unmaking of American Presidents, by Robert Dallek. The book examines what qualities have made our great presidents great and conversely, our bad presidents bad. With the upcoming elections looking to be something of a referendum on the complete Republican control on Washington and the relative unpopularity of the president and many of his policies, this book makes pretty interesting reading -- what are the things that have made our popular past presidents better than their more forgettable brethren? How much does having a strong vision for the country matter? Do you have to be able to get along with opposing politicians?
Here are a couple good excerpts. I will probably end up posting some more:
Democratic Openness:
Few developments in American political life have been more destructive to presidential authority than the rise of a secret government. While doctrinaire adherence to an ideology, or a stiffbacked presidential personality... have been detriments to sensible, innovative leadership, so, too, has been the conviction of some chief executives at secret, unilateral actions could take the place of public debate. Without it, presidents have denied themselves the chance to consider alternative means of dealing with difficult problems. Moreover, when their machinations came to light, as they invariably did, they proved highly damaging to the president's credibility and his ability to govern. (p. 77)
Electoral Mandates:
In the 52 presidential elections since the birth of the Republic in 1787, 16 presidents have gained the White House with less than 50% of the popular vote.... Even most presidents who were elected with a popular majority of one less than 56% of the ballot. Only 17 elections have produced decisive margins of more than 55%. (p. 84)
The New York City Police Department really does not seem to like bicyclists. The monthly Critical Mass rides annoy them to no end, and they were not very nice to bicyclists during the 2004 Republican National Convention protests by either.
Now they have decided that the best way to get back at the bicycle community is by changing the parade permit rules and regulations to be so restrictive that pretty much anyone but a single person on a bicycle riding down the street could be in violation of the parade rules (that is not an exaggeration, 2 or more people on bicycles could be considered a parade or gathering that needs a permit).
The police department has lost all its recent court cases against bicyclists who have been arrested, and the judges in the cases have been quite harsh with the conduct of the Police. So the police have decided to change the rules heavily in their favor.
The police department has come up with an overkill and heavy-handed solution for a problem that almost does not even exist. As one New York Times columnist said, "What happened here is that a molehill became a mountain."
I urge every one to get in contact with their city council member and the mayor to voice their concern and displeasure with this ridiculous proposal by the police department.
NY Times 19 July 2006: "The Police Department wants to require parade permits for bicyclists traveling in groups of 20 or more, and any bicyclists or walkers who take to the streets in groups of two or more and disobey traffic laws for things like parades, races or protests, according to a public notice filed with the city...."
you may be right, but if a very large, well-funded entity brings a lawsuit against you -- being right and being able to win in a court of law usually takes a lot of money. Well it looks like the MPAA finally picked on someone who has the money to defend himself. Hopefully Mr. Hogan is able to decisively showed them the error of their ham-fisted legalistic ways.
Occasionally your Congressperson does learn something. What they do with that new knowledge is another question.
Almost every piece of personal information that Americans try to keep secret -- including bank account statements, e-mail messages and telephone records -- is semi-public and available for sale.
That was the lesson Congress learned over the last week during a series of hearings aimed at exposing peddlers of personal data, from whom banks, car dealers, jealous lovers and even some law enforcement officers have covertly purchased information to use as they wish.
"We had the impression that there were no secrets any more. Now we know that for sure," said Rep. Ed Whitfield, a Kentucky Republican and chairman of the panel's oversight subcommittee.
Part of the mission of the NYC DOT is to "enhance mobility," but does it always have to be via the motor vehicle? 8 million people in New York City, a constrained amount of land, and the densest built environment in the country -- and still a transit and pedestrian focus seems alien to the DOT.
Seems a few people have been noticing lately. The New York City Streets Renaissance group is trying to push a pretty good agenda. Gotham Gazette ran a good article by a former professor of mine at Hunter College on Livable Streets. The Tristate Transportation Campaign has been following the controversy over the new Yankee Stadium planning proposal and the extra parking that the city cannot prove that it needs. Recent patently false or completely misguided statements by officials at the DOT make one wonder what hidden agenda they are following or what drug is in the drinking water at the agency.
New York City Councilwoman Gale Brewer has introduced a bill to have the DOT's performance measured against real-world performance goals:
the bill would supplement these statistics with a set of measures whose aim will be to assess and reduce “the amount of traffic citywide and within each borough.” Specific aims of the new data would be to “reduce commute time citywide,” reduce household exposure to street emissions and reduce driving’s share of travel to central business districts while increasing those of mass transit, cycling and walking.
Sounds like a good piece of legislation, however unfortunate since the agency can't seem to get itself going and actually helping out all the people of the city.
So apparently president Bush knew about and directed the Valerie Plame leak. Didn't he previously say he wasn't involved? ("If anyone in this administration was involved in it, they would no longer be in this administration.") Or maybe he was just interested in finding out what was going on, knowing that might not happen - hoping that might not happen? Former President Clinton had to get into semantics to attempt to not admit directly fooling around* and the Republicans picked on him mightily for it. I would say that President Bush would be defending himself in the same manner now, but for one big difference - he and his administration don't even bother to defend themselves. They just pretend as if they have done nothing wrong. My guess is that history will not treat them as kindly.
(* Compared to authorizing spying on Americans and now this business with lying about knowledge of the leaking of classified CIA information, what exactly did former President Clinton do wrong?)
I was working for Sun Microsystems in 1999 when Scott McNealy famously said "You have zero privacy anyway. Get over it." I did not really want to believe him then, but I knew if we did not do something about it we would end up exactly in that spot.
On his blog, Bruce Schneier has posted one of his best all encompassing privacy essays to date, The Future Of Privacy. One of the good and bad things about wholesale surveillance is that it is so un-specific. We may no longer be anonymous with all this data about us stored in who knows how many databases, but just because it passes through a filter does not mean we are being watched in the same way it did thirty years ago. The problem lies in the filtering then, when a combination of things that we do raises a flag in some computer somewhere - and we become yet another example of an unduly harassed false positive. The numbers are so great at this point - the amount of data so large - that it does not seem to work out in our favor (the innocents) or that of law enforcement. And the amount of data seems like it will just keep pace with computing power and algorithm development.
The New York City Police Department is definitely going overboard In in their crackdown on the Critical Mass rides, I wonder if more news coverage like this New York Times article will get them to back off, or if it will take legal action - more than just losing their case to stop the rides.
The Transportation Security Administration Secure Flight program has been suspended, supposedly because they have found a number of security vulnerabilities in it. Maybe they are suspending it (for now) because it does not seem to be working - $150 million spent and only lots of unhappy false positive matches (ordinary people who can't fly because they are matched for the wrong reasons). Not a very good benefit-to-cost ratio.
Bruce Schneier has said many things better than I could about how little this program would do to enhance our security.
The data lines that carry our internet traffic makeup part of the infrastructure of this country just like the concrete of the sewers and highways, and infrastructure is an area - an inefficient market - that requires government regulation and funding to be both competitive for its (usually) small number of companies and fair for the public that needs access to it.
Larry Lessig has a good post about how the United States is falling behind the rest of the developed world in internet infrastructure development because of a lack of intelligent regulation in the broadband access market.
Creationism? Intelligent design? Evolution? There is only one supreme being, and it is the Flying Spaghetti Monster.
Should the Freedom Center building that they are planning for Ground Zero now be called the non-Freedom Center? The International Freedom Center and the Drawing Center are both gone from the building because they apparently are not "patriotic enough for some political officials or some of the ridiculously shrill 9/11 families. So now we have a great Norwegian architecture firm designing a building that will be filled with some bland Disney-like patriotic display? Even more shopping? How about more life-affirming empty space?
Whether or not you subscribe to the theory that Islamic terrorists dislike us in part because of the freedoms that our society allows, these freedoms - one of the most important being the ability to speak ones mind about politics and criticize the government - are what make us the great country we are. It is sad to see the heavy censorship of the proposed cultural programming at Ground Zero. One would like to think that this country honors itself through great free thinking art and architecture - not through propaganda like one sees in communist and fascist countries.
Update: this article from The Guardian newspaper in London gives a great view on the purpose and usefulness of art in trying times:
Three points. One, why caution? Why not brave iconoclasm? In the wake of 7/7, London does not need art to tiptoe around the imagined sensibilities of those possibly affronted by [the art]. We need to swagger, not crawl. Otherwise art becomes decadently decorative, the 21st-century equivalent of Nero fiddling while Rome burns.
Keeping his eye on the bigger picture, Nicholas Kristof writes a great op-ed piece in the New York Times today. What happened in Louisiana and Alabama because of hurricane Katrina definitely had the worst effect on the poor, and the US is not doing a very good job of helping the poor in normal weather, either:
Under Mr. Bush, the national infant mortality rate has risen for the first time since 1958. The U.S. ranks 43rd in the world in infant mortality, according to the C.I.A.'s World Factbook; if we could reach the level of Singapore, ranked No. 1, we would save 18,900 children's lives each year.
So in some ways the poor children evacuated from New Orleans are the lucky ones because they may now get checkups and vaccinations. Nationally, 29 percent of children had no health insurance at some point in the last 12 months, and many get neither checkups nor vaccinations. On immunizations, the U.S. ranks 84th for measles and 89th for polio.
Mayor Bloomberg comments on the future plans for the streets, walkways, and bikeways of New York City in the Queens Express. It is some what unfortunate that even though the accomplishments highlighted talk largely about the reduced number of deaths - still too many - the first thing talked about for improvements is congestion relief and not safety.
Robert Novak lost it yesterday on a CNN talk show. The loser finally gets some punishment. And because of all that, last night's